Discourage Speculation
Speculation in the commodities and futures markets may or may not
be significantly contributing to the recent volatility and rapid rise
in oil prices. Experts generally agree that supply and demand
account for at least a large part of the increase. Still, there
is undoubtedly some speculation premium built into the current price of
a barrel of oil on the world market considering that total investment
in oil futures contracts went from 13 billion in 2004 to over 260
billion today and that the total amount of oil represented by the
contracts traded each day far exceeds the total amount that is actually
produced each day. Those would appear to be pretty strong
indications that something more than just supply and demand is involved
and that some action may be appropriate to limit the influence of
speculation.
Our objective is to remove any speculative premium that may exist in
the price of oil and the following actions will accomplish this:
Enact an American Energy Independence Plan
Adopting this or some other comprehensive plan will let the world know that new supplies are going
to come on-line rapidly, relieving the upward pressure on oil prices no
matter what the source. As soon as it is apparent that a plan
is going to become policy, prices will fall, perhaps
dramatically.
Double the margin requirement for trading accounts Doubling
(or tripling) the margin requirement for trading accounts and putting strong pressure
on our European and Asian allies to do the same should noticeably
reduce any speculation there may be. Trading accounts are defined
as those who do not actually plan to take
delivery of the oil or are not significant consumers of oil or
petroleum products in the normal course of their business.
Doubling the margin requirement would be sufficient to force hedge funds
and other large speculators to sell enough to maintain their investment
ratios while also forcing speculators without sufficient cash reserves
to
liquidate at least some of their holdings, thereby putting downward
pressure on prices.
Open the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) We
must begin to withdraw oil from the SPR in order to increase supply
enough that minor disruptions in far off countries, a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico, or the rhetoric
spewed by some leader of an oil producing country can no longer cause
large swings in the price of oil on a daily basis. Not only would
we be making a profit, since all of the oil in the SPR
was purchased at much lower prices, but authorizing the release of up
to 200 - 250 million
barrels at rates beginning at 100,000 barrels per day, averaging under
250,000 barrels per day, and not to exceed
1 million barrels per day would have a huge impact on prices
immediately and help to stabilize supply and demand until some new
domestic production can be brought on-line to take its place.
In-kind royalties can be used
to reload the SPR when withdrawals are no longer needed. While
the main purpose of this initiative is to stabilize supply, it will
also have the effect of discouraging speculation.
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