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Anthropogenic Global Warming
The whole subject of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) has become
very polarized, mainly because it has been removed from the realm of
scientific research and co-opted by politicians and environmental
ideologues. Political and ideological opinions range from the
"true believers," who fervently and sincerely think AGW is a scourge that
will have catastrophic consequences if we do not
act
swiftly to radically alter our industrial society and general
lifestyle, to the "deniers," who are equally convinced
and just
as sincere in thinking that it is all just a gigantic hoax being
perpetrated to
advance a political ideology and a radical environmentalist
agenda. The scientific evidence actually suggests that the truth
lies somewhere in between
those two extremes, although precisely where between them remains
unclear and
will likely stay
that way for years if not decades.
The
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has
released four assessment reports,
the most recent in 2007. Because of their prominence, these
reports have come to form the basis of most
if not all discussions regarding global warming, greenhouse gases, and
the changes
in climate due to even higher temperatures that are predicted by
computer models. The Summary for Policy
Makers
(SPM) that is released as part of each assessment report expresses
increasing
confidence that the planet is warmer than anytime in at least the last
1000 years, that the warming happened faster than in the past when it
was due to natural
variations, that more warming will occur, that human
carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are mainly responsible, that
CO2 levels are higher than in the last 650,000 years, and that
significant changes in
climate, rainfall, drought, snow, ice, severe storm frequency and intensity,
rate of sea level rise, species extinctions, and
numerous other maladies have already been detected or can be expected
in the future.
Due
to the IPCC reports, some politicians have taken it
upon themselves to declare that the debate is over, the science is
settled, and there is a
consensus among scientists. However, that is
simply not true. While
it may be true that the number of scientists who
are proponents of the conclusions of the IPCC reports
outnumber the skeptics willing to publicly disagree, many scientists
are
still very much divided on some tenets of AGW theory and do not accept
all of the IPCC conclusions. The
skeptical scientists have expressed doubts about temperatures being
higher or rising faster than in the past, how much warming has
occurred, if the warming trend is still continuing, how much
more warming may occur, if warming has been or will be
harmful, how much warming is actually attributable to human contributions
to CO2 levels, whether CO2 levels were higher in the
past, if even higher CO2 levels are dangerous or could have some benefits,
if the computer models accurately account for all climate variables, and if
the solutions that are being proposed are rational,
reasonable, or will even have any effect.
So,
what really is the truth about AGW and its probable consequences?
We
do not claim to have the answer, nor do we believe it is our mission to
attempt to sway you
one way or the other. Besides, if you have already made up your
mind, we probably couldn't convince you to change it even if we wanted
to. Our
goal is solely to
provide you with access to observational data, facts, scientific
research, information,
news, and opinion from both sides of the debate. After reviewing
that information you
will have a clear understanding of the issues involved, the
uncertainties remaining, and be able to make your own
determination about how much of a threat AGW poses and what should be
done
about it. If you still have an
open mind, you will find the information necessary to make an informed
decision. If you already know where you stand, you will
find material to support your opinion, no matter which side you are
on, since some of the research, observations, and model predictions are
in conflict or they be used to support more than one hypothesis.
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